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ABSTRACT Managing soils to increase organic carbon storage presents a potential opportunity to mitigate and adapt to global change challenges, while providing numerous co‐benefits and ecosystem services. However, soils differ widely in their potential for carbon sequestration, and knowledge of biophysical limits to carbon accumulation may aid in informing priority regions. Consequently, there is great interest in assessing whether soils exhibit a maximum capacity for storing organic carbon, particularly within organo–mineral associations given the finite nature of reactive minerals in a soil. While the concept of soil carbon saturation has existed for over 25 years, recent studies have argued for and against its importance. Here, we summarize the conceptual understanding of soil carbon saturation at both micro‐ and macro‐scales, define key terminology, and address common concerns and misconceptions. We review methods used to quantify soil carbon saturation, highlighting the theory and potential caveats of each approach. Critically, we explore the utility of the principles of soil carbon saturation for informing carbon accumulation, vulnerability to loss, and representations in process‐based models. We highlight key knowledge gaps and propose next steps for furthering our mechanistic understanding of soil carbon saturation and its implications for soil management. 

Abstract. Soil organic matter (SOM) dynamics in ecosystem-scale biogeochemical modelshave traditionally been simulated as immeasurable fluxes between conceptuallydefined pools. This greatly limits how empirical data can be used to improvemodel performance and reduce the uncertainty associated with theirpredictions of carbon (C) cycling. Recent advances in our understanding ofthe biogeochemical processes that govern SOM formation and persistence demanda new mathematical model with a structure built around key mechanisms andbiogeochemically relevant pools. Here, we present one approach that aims toaddress this need. Our new model (MEMS v1.0) is developed from the MicrobialEfficiency-Matrix Stabilization framework, which emphasizes the importance oflinking the chemistry of organic matter inputs with efficiency of microbialprocessing and ultimately with the soil mineral matrix, when studying SOMformation and stabilization. Building on this framework, MEMS v1.0 is alsocapable of simulating the concept of C saturation and representsdecomposition processes and mechanisms of physico-chemical stabilization todefine SOM formation into four primary fractions. After describing the modelin detail, we optimize four key parameters identified through avariance-based sensitivity analysis. Optimization employed soil fractionationdata from 154 sites with diverse environmental conditions, directly equatingmineral-associated organic matter and particulate organic matter fractionswith corresponding model pools. Finally, model performance was evaluatedusing total topsoil (0–20 cm) C data from 8192 forest and grassland sitesacross Europe. Despite the relative simplicity of the model, it was able toaccurately capture general trends in soil C stocks across extensive gradientsof temperature, precipitation, annual C inputs and soil texture. The novelapproach that MEMS v1.0 takes to simulate SOM dynamics has the potential toimprove our forecasts of how soils respond to management and environmentalperturbation. Ensuring these forecasts are accurate is key to effectivelyinforming policy that can address the sustainability of ecosystem servicesand help mitigate climate change.